Andreas Beger
Andreas Beger
Basil Analytics / Independent Scholar
Verified email at - Homepage
Cited by
Cited by
Comparing GDELT and ICEWS event data
MD Ward, A Beger, J Cutler, M Dickenson, C Dorff, B Radford
Manuscript 21 (1), 267-297, 2013
Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes
MD Ward, A Beger
Journal of Peace Research 54 (2), 141-156, 2017
Ensemble forecasting of irregular leadership change
A Beger, CL Dorff, MD Ward
Research & Politics 1 (3), 2053168014557511, 2014
Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models
A Beger, CL Dorff, MD Ward
International Journal of Forecasting 32 (1), 98-111, 2016
SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System.
F Morstatter, A Galstyan, G Satyukov, D Benjamin, A Abeliuk, M Mirtaheri, ...
IJCAI 2019, 6557-6559, 2019
The split population logit (SPopLogit): Modeling measurement bias in binary data
A Beger, JHR DeMeritt, W Hwang, WH Moore
Available at SSRN 1773594, 2011
Precision-Recall Curves
A Beger, 2016
Splitting it up: The spduration split-population duration regression package for time-varying covariates
A Beger, DW Hill, NW Metternich, S Minhas, MD Ward
The R Journal 9 (2), 474-486, 2017
Examining repressive and oppressive state violence using the Ill-Treatment and Torture data
A Beger, D Hill Jr
Conflict Management and Peace Science 36 (6), 626-644, 2019
Varieties of forecasts: Predicting adverse regime transitions
R Morgan, A Beger, A Glynn
V-Dem Working Paper 89, 2019
Predicting the intensity and location of violence in war
A Beger
Florida State University, 2012
Reassessing the role of theory and machine learning in forecasting civil conflict
A Beger, RK Morgan, MD Ward
Journal of Conflict Resolution 65 (7-8), 1405-1426, 2021
BayesPostEst: An r package to generate postestimation quantities for Bayesian MCMC estimation
S Scogin, J Karreth, A Beger, R Williams
Journal of Open Source Software 4 (42), 1722, 2019
Looking under the hood: Ethnic groups, parity, and civil war
A Beger, WH Moore
Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2007
PLOVER and POLECAT: A New Political Event Ontology and Dataset
A Halterman, B Bagozzi, A Beger, P Schrodt, G Scraborough
SocArXiv, 2023
Explainable models for forecasting the emergence of political instability
E Baillie, PDL Howe, A Perfors, T Miller, Y Kashima, A Beger
Plos one 16 (7), e0254350, 2021
Using front lines to predict deaths in the Bosnian civil war
A Beger
Available at SSRN 2026464, 2012
Creating Custom Event Data Without Dictionaries: A Bag-of-Tricks
A Halterman, PA Schrodt, A Beger, BE Bagozzi, GI Scarborough
arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.01331, 2023
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events
DM Benjamin, F Morstatter, AE Abbas, A Abeliuk, P Atanasov, S Bennett, ...
AI Magazine, 2023
Bayesian modeling for overdispersed event-count time series
K Fukumoto, A Beger, WH Moore
Behaviormetrika 46 (2), 435-452, 2019
The system can't perform the operation now. Try again later.
Articles 1–20